Favorite Betfair Trading – My Diary & Methods

Betfair Trading

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Welcome to my site where I explain my approach to trading the Betfair markets, why I do it, how I do it, and how you can too using some of the methods I have picked up and devised over the many years.

Betfair trading is tax-free, it allows traders to work from the comfort of their own home with no travel costs and very few setup costs. If you’re a sports fan, it’s also an extremely enjoyable way to earn a living!

** My ‘Lay The Draw’ eBook is finally published! **

As many of my readers know, I have been working on writing a detailed eBook to publish my entire method for analysing and implementing my football trades. This is something I have been asked to do by literally hundreds of people over the years but I just never found the time until now. The footie break this summer especially with the Euros, gave me a nice relaxed period to finally put pen to paper and document each and every step, every click, every glance I make when choosing my daily Betfair trades.

ebooksmallHaving been doing this for so many years, it took a lot of time and effort to actually document everything I do because so much of it is done on auto-pilot. But finally it’s done, and after asking a few people to have a look at it and give me their thoughts, the views are very positive so I hope this will provide many readers with an extremely useful insight into this simple strategy for trading full time on Betfair. Click here to read more.

I am repeatedly being asked to publish more of my Befair trading strategies but this takes time to document fully, I am working on it. I have recently updated my page about horse racing trading where I outline my preferred methods, if that’s more your thing.

Monday 24 October

Only two games I looked at in any depth, Djurgardens and Braga.

Djurgardens is a definite no trade.

Braga v Chaves has some qualities, they never lose to Chaves (historically speaking of course!) The price is cheap, the few goals Chaves score come at least half the time in the last 15 minutes, which offers a certain amount of protection to a LTD trade which obviously favours the home team and doesn’t want away team goals. The stats could definitely be stronger but they are good. The main negative is Braga’s recent form where they have struggled against some similar quality sides to Chaves. The overriding factor is the price which is a very reasonable 4. Knowing Braga can start (and end!) games very slow at times, with very few quality attacks during some games, I would say this is either a no trade (if being very very selective) or a case of watching the first 10-20 minutes and getting in around 20-30 minutes IF they look good.

Sunday 23 October

Eintracht Braunschweig v Furth – Laying Under 2.5 goals shortly, around 1.45. Pure risk reward trade, I think there should be plenty of goals  but will remove liability after first goal if one comes, and wait for second to green my original liability, rest left to full bet until FT.

Flamengo v Corinthians – Brazil is one of those countries I am a bit more careful with. This game looked like a trade to me at first, but on second thoughts I have decided to give it a miss. Away team scored heavy in last two games, I do expect a good home win based purely on goal stats, but the head to heads suggest this game has a tricky history between the teams so I will leave it.

Villareal v Las Palmas – There are some negatives if you look deep enough, but given the price of 4 and Villareal scoring most goals in the first half, that makes it a trade for me. I may exit earlier than usual if its dull in the first 30-45 minutes, but goal stats suggest it’s reasonable to hope for a 1-0 or 2-0 scoreline by then.

Brondby v AGF – I have a feeling this could be an annihilation by the home team, but the price is far too high based on their recent form so leaving it alone.

Luzern – crazy price considering the form stats, not touching with a barge pole at that price.

Leipzig – overpriced. HT LTD possibly.







I am leaving a few hundred lay on U2.5 in AEK game, will remove liability after a goal and maybe some green, or may hold for a second goal, 15 minutes left and there is more than 1.02 chance of a goal I think, not much more, but more 🙂


Well Galatasaray was a great example of how stats are only useful “most” of the time, not ALL of it! I am glad I dodged that, what a messy trade that could have been. And this is so often the case in my trading experience with Greek and Turkish games. Maybe it’s pure coincidence but whenever I have traded them I often seemed to land on these ones, the ones which just go totally against the stats and probabilities, and massively against the gambling market and odds. Their stats come from real games, so it’s clear that I must just have a bad experience of them, but as today has proved there is a reason why I avoid them and that reason saved me a losing trade yet again there. This doesn’t make a lot of sense in pure maths, but in my experience it pays to listen to history, and each person’s history is different to others, hence why we all develop our own preferred trading approach.

Malmo was an unbelievable game. A team strongly sat at the top of the table plays a mediocre team struggling in the bottom half of the league, and lose 3-0 to them. That was a complete stats shocker too. Overall, not a great day for football trading but these days are all part of the routine, and I can be thankful I was as selective as I was, I could have had a very bad day if I had taken all the games which looked good at first glance.


Ha, typical. You know when its one of those days. I just noticed it was 0-0 in the Lisbon v Tondela game at 73 minutes. I quickly fired in a little £100 lay at 1.04 – good risk reward I thought. I hit submit and realised I had been logged out, so i had to log into BF again, and in those few seconds it was suspended. Doh! That would have been some nice green for a few seconds work. Typical! That says it’s time for a beer here!

Tomorrow looks like it might have a few good games so until then…


Saturday 22 October

ebooksidebarclickGalatasaray v Trabz – Slightly tricky one this, tricky as far as deciding whether to trade or not I mean.

Plus points:

  • Fantastic green home form card
  • Lovely red away form card (league games only), with not one single goal scored in last 4 games, but 15 goals conceded in those 4 games!
  • Big distance between the teams on the table, a real mismatch
  • Gala unbeaten at home this season
  • Greek and Turkish games can have huge support at home games, especially for teams like Galatasaray
  • Away team hasn’t won a game at home, score no goals on average and concede 2.67!


  • It’s Turkey! anecdotal evidence this, but in my experience I never do too well with their games. There have been exceptions of course, but my guts don’t enjoy trading greek or turkish games generally.
  • Looking deeper into the games, Galatasaray often score late, often only managing one goal before HT, sometimes none.
  • Away team can hold the game to a draw for a good 60-70 minutes when they want to, and they will want to today! They will be all out for a 0-0 draw here, doubt they will manage it, but if they hold Gala to a 0-0 scoreline until 60-65 mins, thats a losing trade even though Gala may well then win 4-0 in the last 15 minutes.
  • Price is high considering these negatives.

So what to do?! I am honestly not sure. By my approach this means the decision is made. Leave it alone. I am 90% sure this means I will miss out on a great green lay the draw trade, but I am not here to avoid missing out (dangerous game that), I am here to stick my bank on games I have no doubts about, so I have to leave it alone. If it’s 0-0 at 60-65 minutes I may consider laying U2.5 for a low risk big green if the odds are below 1.25, unlikely but I would rather get involved when this unlikely scenario happens, than sit and watch the odds tumble in while no goals are scored and I am kicking myself. In short, I would rather miss out than lose on this game, and however sure I am that Galatasaray should nail their opponents to the wall, I have reasons to turn it down, so I am!


Sturm Graz v Mattersburg – this looks strong. I am only slightly nervous of the price. 5.1 seems a tad high. I would rate this around 4.5-4.7 based on the stats alone. For this reason I will LTD at 15 minutes in, which could backfire not only because a goal could be scored before then, but also because even if its 0-0 but the game is lively, the odds may not come down much, they could even rise although that’s rare. But for better or worse, 15 min LTD is my pick here. For the risk averse,  30 minutes might be a better entry hopefully closer to 4.2.


Sheffield Wednesday v QPR – nowhere near good enough for a LTD but they both score most goals in the last 15 minutes so this is a LTD at 75 mins if level score, or maybe a lay U2.5 if 0-0 and odds below 1.25, for one of my favourites, 4-1 risk reward trade.


Norwich v Preston – Looks good on home form, but away form is too strong (2-2 against Brighton is far too good to assume they will get beaten easily here, even though they probably will) No trade


Newcastle v Ipswich – nice home form, strong scoring stats, but strong defensive stats for Ipswich too which makes it a no trade.


Malmo FF v Ostersunds – Lovely strong stats, but the price is just too high. This leaves 3 options:

  1. Don’t touch it
  2. LTD from KO, exiting early around 50 minutes (guessing)
  3. LTD at HT if 0-0

I am going for option 1, simply because the other options leave a very short time in the trade as the odds will be falling quickly since they have so far to fall. On another day I would probably take this from KO or 5 minutes in after watching it, and keep watching it to decide if the first half looks like being the winning half for Malmo, but I am in and out today and wont have time to do this, so it’s a leave alone job for me.


Verona v Vercelli – Interesting stats and probably a winner but just far too expensive and there are some negatives. No trade.


That’s it for today



Friday 21 October

Monaco v Montpellier – This looks good. It’s either a KO trade or a HT trade, or for some perhaps a half stake @ KO and add to it at HT if 0-0. However, it’s strong enough and cheap enough to be in from the KO in my view so I will be.

Cork – This looks good, very good, but its pricey, and there is one big fly in the ointment which is that only 4 days ago they played each other and St Patricks put 3 goals past Cork which, if this was worth the price (5) I would say that would knock my confidence in a trade. So this is a leave alone job, unless a better opportunity comes up in play.

Wisla Kracow – This game has me scratching my head. It isn’t a trade, but it looked it on the odds, until I saw the league positions which baffle me! The goal stats suggest this has a strong chance of being a draw, so I ain’t touching it. In play opportunities could come up there, if the home team go ahead, certainly if 2-0 up, I may be looking at laying them with small stakes.

RKX Waalwijk v Achilles 29 – This is massively overpriced, but if it’s 0-0 at 60 minutes it could offer some value to LTD or lay U2.5.

Le Havre v Ajaccio – This is borderline on the stats, but I do think Le Havre should manage some goals here based on who they have scored against and how the Ajaccio’s form looks so dismal. But the price is good at 3.65 and that offers a long trade from KO with much less risk than usual, so despite not being blown away by the goal stats, I think this has value as a KO trade at this price.

Breda v Fortuna – One of the most overpriced draws I have seen in a long time. I am half tempted to back the draw for 30 minutes just to ride that price collapse when/if it is as dull as the home form and stats suggest it should be! But I wont be doing that, instead I might just look for a way to take advantage in play, if an op comes up.

Stuttgart v Munich – Slightly higher price than I would like, but I do like the stats and form so I am going to go for this one from KO. HT may be a better entry for someone trying to preserve funds/reduce risk.

Small lay

http://uk.soccerway.com/matches/2016/10/18/austria/1-liga/lask-linz/fc-magna-wiener-neustadt/2244008/head2head/ – this game is 0-2 currently. I have laid the away team. It’s not a super low risk job so need to be sensible, but the probabilities of a home goal (or home win even) are higher than the odds suggest so its a value bet for me


Crikey, it doesn’t surprise as much as I am sure it surprised many punters and traders alike. There is a method which I know quite a few people follow based on stats provided by a certain website online. That site gave the stats as:

Chances of a Draw – 5%!!!!!

Over2.5 – 75%!!

I lost a bit but not much as the game was far too cagey to get involved earlier but I did genuinely expect a flurry of late goals, although it needed that one goal to break the 1 point each deadlock going on. That didn’t come and in light of that I am not surprised by the lack of goals, I am still convinced one goal would have led to 3+ goals once the game was everyones to win or lose. I shudder to think how much money was traded on the stats though as a simple “Unders Lay” or worse still a LTD.

Spanish game was back and forth and plenty of green in there. I missed a trade earlier in a swedish game, can’t even remember the teams names now, laying the away team which was 0-2 up around 30 minutes. I thought I placed it. Got on the phone to a friend for a while, heard the pings and score go to 2-2, grinned from ear to ear and boasted to him about how i just made a very handsome bit of green, opened BF and was shocked to see no green at all. Bet wasn’t matched. That’s the second time I have done that this week. Some improvement in my concentration is needed at the moment I think, can’t afford to let things pass by like that, its hard enough to find good sized greens sometimes let alone when you dont bother to make sure of your bets!

I am focussing on some horse racing trading stuff at the moment, documenting some methods and strategies for both IR and Pre Off stuff. It is proving hard to document it as I do a lot without really consciously thinking about it, but I will get there. Some great things can be done on horse markets so hopefully I will have something well worth reading soon.

Braunschweig was a dull game after all, but again that’s not what the probabilites favoured at all. The same stats site (which is pretty damn good usually, or always used to be when I bothered to look at it more often) had that game down at over 60% probability of O2.5, so more punters lost out there I think but the LTD was safe with the nicely timed goal to avoid any sweaty palms at 60+ minutes!



Torn between LTD and U2.5 but I think U2.5 is the one to go for. It’s survivable if it ends 0-0, allows more time in the trade, and will offer more green for a sudden late flurry of goals, which I think will happen when someone breaks the silence, which will probably be liverpool based on form and stats.


Although this doesn’t line up for a LTD based on the odds, it does look a goalsy game to me so i may consider a LTD at 30mins if no goals (which I think is unlikely, hence why I wont enter til then if it happens) or if I don’t trade and somehow the game gets to 70 minutes ish or wenever the U2.5 price is around 1.2, I will be laying U2.5.

Monday 17 October

Eibar v Osasuna – Not great but if it’s 0-0 at 40 minutes I may have a LTD, hopefully after watching some of the game.

Braunschweig v Kaiserslautern – I am a bit baffled by the price here, the stats look more like a 5.5 LTD than a 3.8?!!?!?!?! I must be missing something. time to read the team sheets and news feeds i think. but before doing that, i will mention what i like about it and, if i can’t find any negatives, this looks a definite trade for me.

statsstatsObviously the form card looks excellent. The goal stats do as well. The home form is nothing but wins, away form draws or losses. If i could find a negative it would be the scoring times, an ideal entry might be around 30-40 minutes, or even HT for a very tight trader. But at 3.8 ish to LTD at KO, I just don’t see any reason not to be involved for a good 60-70 minutes, surely a green will come in that time!? Off to find out what I am missing here….. !!

Sunday 16 October

Anderlecht v Lokoren – Liquidity is low, but if game its a half time LTD if game is level

St Ettiene v Dijon – Stats suggest this is a 60 minute LTD bet, rather than a KO trade, in an ideal world. But I have a feel St Etienne could score earlier here against such weak opponents. The goal stats could be better, but the price could be a LOT worse. It’s at 3.7 currently so due to that, this is a KO LTD for me, maybe  for half stakes, adding another half stake at HT if still 0-0. I may watch the opening 5-10 minutes on half stakes to decide whether to add the other half early or wait. It could well be a tight game until the last 20 minutes or so, but at such a cheap price I would rather be involved from the KO.

ADO Den Hag v Ajax – Torn between waiting for HT for a cheaper entry, or taking it from KO. Since the odds are 4.8 I think I will go with a KO trade, if it was over 5 I would wait for a better price in play.

Mainz v Darmstadt – Interesting one this. In many ways it could be argued that this shouldn’t be touched, unless level at 70-75 minutes. But despite no home wins for Mainz, they have scored heavily in the games they have lost, they just have a bad defensive record. But Darmstadt have a useless scoring record and a heavy conceding record. Therefore I think this is likely to be the day Mainz score a good home win which they badly need, they will not be here for a point, they will want all 3 for the win, so all things considered (including the cheap price) this is a KO LTD for me, perhaps adding to the trade at 75 minutes if it goes level again or is still level as the late scoring of Mainz is a huge statistic, I just don’t think they will leave it that late this time.

Sassuolo v Crotone – Another interesting one but I will leave this alone purely because of the trade above, I don’t take too many “interesting” ones in the same day. Home team don’t score a lot, but away team don’t either and they do concede goals. There is a chance of a HT or later LTD here but not sure yet.

Inter v Cagliari – Very high priced considering Inter aren’t scoring too well of late. However one to watch for a LTD in play after HT as I do think Inter need a win here to get themselves up where they feel they belong in the table.

Sion v Grasshopper – Aside from the fact someone really needs to help them name their football teams properly (:D) this isn’t a trade as such, but one to note as if its level at 75 minutes I may get involved either on the draw market or the U/O2.5 market.

Small lay

I am having a very small lay on Elche in the Zaragoza game. I do not expect to win any money, so it’s extremely low liability stuff, but the stats suggest Zaragoza should score a goal or two in this game usually anyway. The 0-3 scoreline is usually something to avoid as the game is almost certainly over, but if it came back to 1-3 or 2-3 there could be some nice green many times the liability, and I think there is a reasonable chance of that happening, even though it isn’t overly likely. One of those low risk but low expectation trades.

Other games

I have had an email from a reader ‘James’ asking me to take a look at a few others he spotted and give my thoughts or reasons I didn’t mention them, so here goes…

“- Napoli v Roma – snag here is that they are very close together in the table but everything else from what I can see looks good.
– Doncaster v Colchester
– Sturm Graz v Ried
– Basel v Luzern.”

Napoli – This one I am not sure why but I didn’t look at. It was probably just missed in my fast skim down the page, the odds are under 4 on the draw which can present a great trade but I do sometimes miss them as they are sometimes (more often than not) too close for LTD trades for me. However, looking at this one..

Yes the goal stats look good. I would say not quite good enough for a KO trade, as the stats show Roma score early sometimes and Napoli rarely do, so may as well wait 20 minutes for a trade. However, as you rightly say, they are right next to each other in the table. This doesn’t always negate a trade, but it usually does, and I think it would for me here, certainly with a KO trade. I would need to watch some of this game before committing any money to it. If it looks cagey as these games can often be, I may leave it alone, or take a late low liability position only. The home form of Napoli is certainly attractive, and they love to score goals, Roma do concede a goal or two as well, as I don’t dislike this game, especially at that price of 3.9. I am almost tempted,  but still would stick to my guns (rightly or wrongly) and plan to trade this 20 minutes in earliest, IF watching and its an attacking game, and of course if it’s still 0-0.

Doncaster – I did look at this one actually, I didn’t mention it as I dont mention all the games I check on the coupon. In this case it didn’t look too bad, but in the normal approach of finding reasons “not to trade” I found a couple of points which put me off enough to avoid it from KO anyway. Those points are:

  1. Doncaster have conceded 2 goals in each of their last three games. Maybe that doesn’t mean anything, but maybe it means they are having trouble defending at the moment, a small negative but one which can hurt a LTD quite badly.
  2. Colchester only concede 1.17 goals per game away from home, which is less than they do at home (1.5). This can sometimes indicate a team which plays tight when away, and plays more openly when at home. Of course this point contradicts point 1, they can’t both be true, but it’s another negative and when I spotted 1.17 on my skim through the stats, that was enough to close it out for me. But that doesnt mean I am right, and I can easily see a 3-0 home win here, I just don’t think it’s likely enough to risk a  trade on it.

Sturm Graz – Totally agree, the stats are superb, and this looks a nailed on trade to me. However, the reason I didn’t mention it is because I didn’t spot it as I would have rejected it at the coupon sift stage due to the low volume. Again, this doesn’t mean it can’t be traded, but in my hasty run down the list, I tend to reject games with less than 5k matched, especially on a Saturday when there are many more traders/punters around to bet on these events. I would probably check this again around KO and if the volume comes up and looks tradeable, I would definitely be interested. I just tend to write these off early as I have had a few annoying trades in the past where everything went great, but I couldn’t exit and either took a red (even on a winning trade) or waited for my trade to get matched and missed my exit as a goal came in from the other team! It’s a definite trade, just a possible volume issue here.

Basel – Again this was probably a volume issue as to why I didn’t check it. But having a look now, its nearly at 5k matched, but thats still not confidence inspiring, although possibly tradeable. My feeling is its wise to go half stakes on any low volume games where there are nerves about being able to exit. As for the stats here, I am not that keen. It certainly looks likely that a home win is highly probable. But I really don’t like Basel’s last home game where they only managed to draw 1-1 with the bottom team of the league, that’s a definite concern even against all the green results before that. What might have changed? Maybe nothing, maybe something important. That’s enough to reject for me, given the liquidity issues. Looking at the scoring times, I might be interested in post 75 minute very low liability LTD or any other low lay, as trading out wouldn’t be a problem them due to being so late and the whistle could save the trade even if the market can’t let you out! Finally, as a rule, I don’t trade any league which has a team called “Young Boys” in it. Frankly they should be hiding that sort of thing in my view, I know we are all liberalised these days, but thats taking it a bit far for me. HAHAHA 😀

Saturday 15th October

Las Palmas v Espanyol is a good example of how stats can, at least occasionally, be undone by live action. More importantly, this is why my lay the draw ebook talks a lot about money management and letting a bad trade go, without chasing it or trying to recoup anything. Losing trades are as much a crucial part of trading as winning ones, they are your costs of running the business, there is no business without risk or costs of upkeep. Losing trades are nothing more, just regular outgoings which make the greens possible.

In this case, the stats were extremely strong, so this was a good trade. No goals were scored, which looking at the sheet below is surprising, but that is of course trading. Surprises happen, this is the exact reason for managing the bank and stakes sensibly, anything can happen at any time, in any market. Planning for that, but trading based on probabilities is simply the only way to trade in any market.

As you can see, neither team has failed to score. The average goal stats are huge, the away team conceding 2.67 goals per game, and the home team scoring the same amount, most of them in the second half. These are stats to look out for, nothing is guaranteed, but look for angles into a game like this which is at 0-0 around HT and you can’t do much wrong over the long term.


So what do we have today? …..

Betis v Real Madrid – I don’t think I will be trading this unless an opportunity comes up during the game, but it’s an interesting one to look at stats wise, here they are. Yes it’s Real Madrid, yes everyone would expect a strong away win, and so would I. But the stats tell at least a slightly different story. Firstly the last time they met they drew 1-1. That can be significant, not always, but can be. Secondly they both concede 0.67 goals per game, that is certainly significant. It doesn’t guarantee no goals of course, far from it, but it does suggest both teams could find it hard to score for a while. On the other hand Madrid are unbeaten away and score 2.33 goals per game on average. All in all this is a leave alone job I think, but in days gone by I would have considered laying over 2.5goals or laying madrid for 20-30 minutes from KO, depending on the play. I can see a chance that Betis could take the lead here or at least make things tougher for Madrid than the odds would suggest. No trade for me, but one to watch perhaps.

Norwich v Rotherham – At a glance this looks a great pick for a LTD. But as usual, before committing I do some more in depth stuff such as looking at who they played and who they won/lost to recently. This is where a few very small concerns come in, but at this price of 5.5 I think its enough to avoid it. I expect Norwich to do the business strongly here, but the form card shows they do usually concede a goal (which is costly to such a high priced trade) and Rotherham do score a goal in most games, again a concern. If it was 4.5 I would be interested, but at this price its another one to leave alone unless something odd happens to give us a better edge, such as Rotherham going ahead by 2 goals. Unlikely, very unlikely, but I would rather keep the old powder dry unless something kicks me in the head saying “trade me” 🙂

Newcastle v Brentford – It made it only the shortlist purely on odds, but one glance at the form card and the first thing I noticed was Newcastle’s 0-0 draw with much lower team Wigan. That’s enough for me to close the window right there.

Man 5hitty v Everton – Another one which looks “obvious” to a gambler, certainly to a ManCity fan, but to me there are plenty of flags to say leave it alone unless something odd happens again. Both teams concede too few goals so even though a 4-0 win is entirely possible, I would not chance a trade here unless it was second half and the price was excellent. Everton have a good defence, and a good defence is one of the biggest enemies to a LTD trader.

Hearts v Dundee – nowhere near strong enough to merit those odds, but one thing I did notice is this:

screen-shot-2016-10-15-at-11-04-51I like the look of that huge orange bar down the bottom. if the game is 0-0 or 1-1 at 75 minutes, and the price is right, I could be tempted to LTD for a very low liability.

Brighton V Preston – This is not brilliant but at the price of 4 it’s slightly tempting. I am resisting temptation though, unless it’s 0-0 or 1-1 at HT, in which case a cheap LTD will definitely be on the cards.

Aberdeen v Ross Country – rejected as a LTD, but I noticed their form when playing each other shows a lot of goals. All but one of their past 5 meetings saw 4 or 5 goals, the only exception being two goals in one game. More interesting is that last time Ross County won 4-0 AWAY to Aberdeen! This makes the price of 4.4 seem just a tad high to me! I could be tempted to have a dabble with U/O2.5 goals here, but would need to see half an hour without any goals to get interested, at which point I may have a small lay of Under2.5, adding to it around 60 minutes if still no goals.

MGladbach v Hamburger – Interesting one this. The price seems cheap if you just look at the awesome goal stats. But a look at their head to head shows why, these teams often have odd results, and either team could win it (based purely on their past H2H). The goal stats say the home team will blitz it, but the H2H can be of great importance in these types of games. One thing I do think is highly likely, is there will be plenty of goals. Knowing this is likely, there are various ways to take a position, including LTD but that wouldn’t be my choice. At 65-1 I might have a £2 dabble on the 3-3 scoreline, trading out later if the goals come. On the other hand, Might just hope for a tight first half hour and then see what the odds are on U2.5 and the draw.

Finally, Chelsea v Leicester. This isn’t a stand out trade by any means, but the stat which does stand out is the late scoring tendency of Chelsea, and the way Leicester seem to score all of their goals just after HT (some just before). Worth knowing this last point if doing a LTD which I won’t be, not from KO anyway. This is a suck it and see job. If Leicester happened to go 2-0 up at some point, I might be interested in laying them. If the game is level at HT, I would definitely be interested in a LTD. I may also look to take a position based on the late scoring stats or Chelsea, perhaps with U/O2.5 goals…..



Well Dortmund game saw a goal, two so far but first one from the “wrong” team unfortunately so that was a bail out for break even. The Palmas game looks as dull as ditchwater so out, but the price of U2.5 at 1.02 seems worth a small lay to me. if a goal comes, remove liability, and hope for another for more green, or just take any green on the first, not sure as it depends on odds movements if that happens. But at that price it seems silly with 15 minutes to run, there could be a late blitz of goals. Its unlikely based on the current play, but the stats suggest its more than possible, and the odds suggest its utterly IMpossible!