well it certainly started out VERY lively. i am in, but no goals as yet. should be soon, going by the speed of the game anyway

One possible trade today

I don’t often trade Turkish games but Fenerbahce are playing at 5pm and it looks a good pick, although it’s too expensive by my normal standards. I will watch some of the game and hope the odds make it down below 5. If it looks a cracked (it should!) then I will be trading it, but I will have to be impressed with aggression of the home team before laying the draw here.


Well I wasn’t messing around today so I took a loss on Everton after the red card and goal to Sunderland. That sort of put an end to the stats in any meaningful way. So between the two lay the draws i had + 42 and – 60. Overall an up day thanks to the Hull game.

£60 on hull

Didn’t have time to post here. heard on radio that Hull v ManUre was 2-2. Any game which has 2 goals a piece at 55 minutes stands a very good chance of another goal, both teams scoring and both teams conceding. I used to do that as a method of my own, but want to get it backtested against football results data for a season and never managed to do it. Anyway, Man U scored so I took a quick £60 greened. …

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Boxing Day Football Trading….

Empoli v Cesena – Tempting but ruled out, just not strong enough form on home team side. Wolves v Crewe – Again very tempting but price is just far too high for those stats. Not trading that. Everton v Sunderland – Ideally I would like to wait as this could be a very tight defensive game from Sunderland. ALL they will want is to protect their goal, god knows they can’t score em! But at 5.3 and with Everton’s unbeatean  home record, I can’t miss out on this one so laying at 5.3 Chelsea v Swansea – Laying the draw at 5.4. I am a bit nervous of this one. …

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Xmas Day Selection :-D

Well I fancy Zamalek to beat Al Masry 2-0 or 2-1 today, In the Egyptian Premier League that is 😀 Not enough stats to form a real trading decision, but quite a bit of volume. It would have been nice to have a winner on Xmas day. Just for fun, I am chucking a tenner on em 😀 PS I also chucked a fiver on correct score of 2-1, just so I don’t kick myself if it comes in! Odds = 10

One trade today, starting at 1130

Balikesirspor v Kahramanmarasspor – This is a Turkey League One game. I have laid the draw at 5 just to get my order in before others follow and send the market higher, but its possible to get in now at 4.8. The stats look very solid, I am very wary of Turkish and Greek games having been burned many times by them, but these stats can’t be ignored so I am holding my breath and going for it. …

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Latest update on Madrid!

Penalty, which I knew was coming, its a really rough and ready game with some very dirty tackles. Greened and played with bets to come up with this…. (plus a £2 back bet on Levante to hedge while waiting for my lay the draw trade exit to get matched) I have placed another £2 back bet on Levante, at 290, and gonna sit this one out now. pizza can wait! I doubt it will happen, but there is a chance in such a frantic game that they get another breakaway goal. they have a decent striker, and since its just £2 of my green gone, and another potential £100 or …

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It all changed before I left the desk!

Well Levante did get one! A fantastic break away goal to make the score an unlikely 2-2! There was too much green to be left uncollected, so I made a load of small trades at various odds to get a picture I prefer, and I laid the draw again around 3.1. I now have 20-25 minutes of play to hope anyone scores, and I am pretty sure they will! Here is the current situation…… …

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Well I could have waited for what is more than likely going to be a full stake win, but I need to make a pizza so I am going to cut and run. As expected, Madrid set the score back level and then went 2-1 up so I am taking an exit there. I did my alternative exit strategy of laying the home team instead of backing the draw, The result is shown below. If i was watching I would be cheering on Levante now! When home team odds drop this low, this kind of exit costs nothing but gives a tiny chance of a whopping win 🙂 …

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Well in fine 5hitty luck style, I placed my order where I thought was a fair price to lay the draw at Eindhoven, and moments before it matched, the first goal came from the home team. So I missed out, hopefully many others didn’t! 🙂

One trade today

Well it’s not a corker, I am a bit doubtful I will get my bet on as the volume is very low but I am hoping it will rise before KO at 7pm. FC Eindhoven v Telstar – It’s not a killer trade, only just passes to be honest, but if I can lay the draw for around 4.1-4.3 I will be trading it