Friday 19 August

Le Havre v Troyes – Very very tempted here at a lovely price of 4. Le Havre have a good home record against their opponents, but I think I am 51% in favour of leaving it alone just due to the short amount of stats available still so early in the season. Its one of those where I would be surprised if the home team didn’t win strongly, I would expect 2-0 or 3-0, maybe 3-1, but I think it’s still the right call to miss this one out. There are going to plenty of trades coming through the pipework now.

Manure v Southampton – I don’t even care about the stats, and even with Mourinho in charge, I still can’t put my first EPL trading funds on Manure, they have burned me so many times by taking 87 minutes to get going!! So that’s that one out without doing any analysis!

NAC Breda v MVV – another one which looks likely to see a strong home win but not enough stats to back it up, and their home form hasn’t been that great so one to avoid

Valarenga v Bodo – Stats not good enough and price seems ridiculous. They may well win, but their odds of winning are certainly not in line at 1.51 on betfair. Value bet almost there, to go against the punters in some way!

Lyon v Caen – Lyon are one of my best ever teams for LTD trades, but these stats are far too thin to get involved yet with trading money, although I expect them to win strongly, but they might concede a goal or two in the process.

Volendam v Telstar – Another crazily overpriced one. I don’t know why but every single year, the Dutch leagues seem overpriced.

So after all that, no trades for me!

 


Comments

Friday 19 August — 2 Comments

  1. Hey Tim,

    Interesting post, you didn’t mention what stats database you use though? Is it your own?

    Would be interested to see which resources are best when it comes to analysing the data.

    Keep up the good work!
    Caan

  2. Hi Caan,

    Sorry, I do usually post a link to the relevant stats but that post was done in a bit of a hurry. I use Soccerway.com, only certain areas of it. I do outline it somewhere on the site, I can’t remember where now but it’s there somewhere, pwomise!

    Cheers

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