Thanks to a reader (James) I missed another one which he spotted… IFK Goteborg v Ostersunds. Here are the stats.
If I was picking faults with it I can only find two small ones, firstly the 3-0 away win on Ostersunds form card, that was a fairly respectable team they beat strongly at home without conceding, but if they did that today it would still result in a winning trade so it’s a small negative. Also the tendency of the home team to score many of their goals late, that’s often a strong negative for me as it’s obviously fairly harmful to a LTD trade so I would often avoid or take the trade much later on once the odds are below 3 (if poss) so my stop loss can be moved down to 1.5 for the same % risk on the trade as if trading from 4 down to 2. However given the seemingly very cheap price of this trade to LTD (3.9) I would be tempted to take this one from the off I think.
Thanks again James 🙂