Monday 24 October

Only two games I looked at in any depth, Djurgardens and Braga.

Djurgardens is a definite no trade.

Braga v Chaves has some qualities, they never lose to Chaves (historically speaking of course!) The price is cheap, the few goals Chaves score come at least half the time in the last 15 minutes, which offers a certain amount of protection to a LTD trade which obviously favours the home team and doesn’t want away team goals. The stats could definitely be stronger but they are good. The main negative is Braga’s recent form where they have struggled against some similar quality sides to Chaves. The overriding factor is the price which is a very reasonable 4. Knowing Braga can start (and end!) games very slow at times, with very few quality attacks during some games, I would say this is either a no trade (if being very very selective) or a case of watching the first 10-20 minutes and getting in around 20-30 minutes IF they look good.


Comments

Monday 24 October — 3 Comments

  1. Hi Tim – could you please elaborate on why Djurgardens is a no trade – is it because the 2 teams are too close together in the League Table?

    • I am being quite selective but some brief things that put me off:

      League neighbours always puts me off, too many draws between teams like that generally.

      not bad home form as far as winning games, but always conceding goals to get those wins.

      away team scoring in all their away games

      home team failed to score in 3 games and have lost 5 games.

      just enough to put me off, but not to say it can’t work well as a LTD trade, just slightly under my comfort level

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