Monday 28 November

Stuttgart – This looks like a game with plenty of goals. But the away team score too many goals to make this an ideal LTD from KO. Therefore I will leave it alone unless (hopefully) something odd happens, such as no goals being scored by HT (in which case I would LTD, also would at 1-1). Failing that, if no goals have been scored when the Over2.5 price hits 1.2 I will be laying that heavily

VVV – hugely overpriced as a LTD but again, in play betting opportunities may come up, have to wait and see, but I wont be banking heavily on the home team as there could be an upset here even though stats suggest the home team should win

Jong PSV  (PSV 2) – Excellent stats, quite high price at 5 but worth every penny of that I think, I am laying the draw from KO.

betfair football trading

CFR Cluj – Laying the draw at half time if its still level

Napoli – ridiculous price. In days gone by I would have been backing the draw for 20+ mins there, just so inflated that price, but I tend to avoid stuff like that now as one goal and its pop goes the stake even though it was a decent long term method. I would sooner wait for a market shock to get involved now, like the away team scoring first, twice ideally, which is unlikely of course, but when it happens it can present a great value trade.


Comments

Monday 28 November — 12 Comments

    • In some ways yes, but I don’t have a blanket rule, just Braga i tend to avoid if its easy to do and at that price it was easy to skim past it in the coupon

    • I don’t like to mention things like this because it’s more my own personal preference than a pure trading decision. A friend of mine trades Portuguese games all the time and laughs when I say I hate them, he loves em! so don’t be led too much by me on this stuff, you will learn who to love and hate I am sure! 😀

    • Yep those are my favourites! Lets hope those young dutch boys do it again for us! (If social services are listening, I didn’t mean it like that)

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