Well I am glad I stuck to half stakes yesterday, will do so again for a few days I think, then hopefully things will settle down and stats will have a long overdue reliable spell! The unders lay on yesterday’s Chester game was a good one, amazing that Chester didn’t score but as expected, there were still 3 goals in the game and could have been a lot more based on the play.
Today’s Doncaster game looks similar…
Note that Stevenage are priced at 5+, which is value in my view, but I am not betting on them as I am not a flat better, not very often anyway. But a lay of unders could be good here, although the price needs time to become better value, so maybe 30-45 minutes will see a double price to take on. 2.1 pre KO, should be 1.5ish by 30-45 minutes and that to me would be good value if the game can hold that long without goals.
Cambridge United – This game doesn’t look too interesting but if it gets to 60 minutes without goals, a lay of Under 0.5 or 1.5 goals could be in order as I suspect there will be a goal or two late on if not before.
Leeds United – Strong team but on a pretty dismal run of home form so I am definitely wary. I do ‘think’ they will win it and probably be 1-0 or 2-0 up by HT, but the stats don’t allow me much justification to ‘think’ that! I think it’s best to play safe and avoid this, or if it makes it to 60 minutes 0-0, then a LTD or lay under 0.5 or 1.5 would be worthwhile.