No trades today

I shortlisted a few games before realising they were cup games, the only exception being Fiorentina which after a look at stats is a definite no trade. Ho hum, it will get busy soon! Just got to keep powder dry and not be tempted to mess around just to be involved.

Thursday 23rd October

Well I couldn’t believe my eyes when I saw that yesterday’s pick would have been a losing trade, unbelievable against those stats. As I did say though, Brasilian games can be very odd sometimes. I don’t know why, stats are stats and these odd results just don’t make sense against a backdrop of average goal figures of 2.8 per game! However, I have learned over the years that some leagues can burn you more easily than others, and while on the subject i may as well say that in my experience by far the most costly leagues to trade are Portugal premier league, Greek Premier League and Brasilian first league.No …

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One trade tonight

Cruzeiro vs. Palmeiras – 1030pm This is a corker of a trade according to the stats. Brazilian games can sometimes be unpredictable, at least they were sometimes in the past. But these stats are what I would call a perfect trade. Top team plays very low league team, great home scoring stats. The only way it could be better is if the home team had 5 or 6 unbeaten games in a row, and the away team had 5 or 6 losing games in a row. But that would be greedy. I won’t be able to trade this due to the time its on, but if I was at my …

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no trades today

was trying to get stats for Dundalk as that looked a possible but couldn’t find any in time so just leaving trading alone today, many good days to come this winter

Almost a profit!

OK I ran it on a bit longer than planned as everything looked pretty dull in the game, I was just trading out at around 25 minutes when they did the inevitable. I only paid 1.04 for my lay so I only stand to lose £40 when Spain win, worth it I think but next time I would probably choose something not quite so one sided as even the punters were not acting too rationally, come on after 25 minutes and it’s still 0-0 (with Luxembourg doing pretty well and making some good saves) I think 1.06 is a crazy price. Its not about whether they will win or not, …

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No proper trades today, but might try an old method on Spain…

Spain is priced at 1.06. As we can see from Germany last night, nothing is very ordinary about these big international qualifiers and friendlies, hence why I never trade them by laying the draw or doing anything else which relies on a strong performance from the favourites. However, maybe I am just itching to find a trade but I had an idea here. Spain are priced so low, they could be laid on Betfair for a grand at 1.06 with a total liability of only £60. They would only need to pass the ball around for about 10-20 minutes max in my view, before the odds would rise with the …

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No trades today

Well I had a good look but nothing appeals to me today, the first day I have analysed what I hoped would be a big coupon, and it was but it’s all international stuff and trading football on internation qualifier games is not my way of betfair trading. Example is Poland v Germany, yes the world cup champions with what looks like a tempting price to lay the draw at 4.2! However Poland are playing well and in May Germany drew with Bosnia, wtf?! There just isn’t enough stats or more importantly, enough at stake in the games like there is in the league games. So it’s a no trade …

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Here’s Johnny!!!!!

Well yes, I am back! Finally have a decent set up here again just in time for the international football break! can’t wait to get trading again, my bank hasn’t been grown for a long while now and it needs to! I have a new high speed connection being fitted, BT are taking FOREVER to do it as they need permission from the neighbours to put a line across their garden and trim their trees, hence the delays. But once thats installed any day now, i will be cranking away here a lot on Betfair. Stay tuned, and thanks for all the well wishes and emails lately. I am definitely …

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