After several years of being asked to document my exact approach to laying the draw on Betfair, I have eventually managed to pull it all together into a downloadable ebook.
I spent quite a few years adapting the lay the draw method for the highest possible strike rate with minimum possible risk, and I didn’t document every step of my journey, so it took quite a bit of thinking to actually remember why I almost sub-consciously reject certain games, why I only enter in certain odds ranges, and various other things I was basically doing on autopilot before putting pen to paper to publish this step by step guide.
There are so many different ways to use the lay the draw strategy in your football trading, I have seen many of them myself in use by other traders I have known. In fact I would say there are almost as many interpretations on this method as there are traders using it! I have respect for all of them (when successful!) but my approach is quite different in that I avoid as much risk as possible, but capitalise hard when there is a profitable scenario on the table. From all the comparisons I have done with other traders, this seems to be the most obvious area of difference in my own approach. However, it was a long and gradual process, I certainly didn’t start out being very selective, do any of us?!
I used to trade between 10 and 20 games per DAY!
Yes, I really did. And I did that for a good year or more before I began to discover that I could have similar profits by doing a lot less work, which was what originally motivated me to reducing my trades. In time I found that by being ULTRA selective, only risking my money when literally everything looked as close to perfect as possible, I could reduce my workload by 70% or more, while maintaining or even increasing my level of success at the same time. In my mind, making the same money for half the work is basically like doubling your wages. Time really is money, and the older I have become the more I have decided that all my time doing anything needs paying for somehow, unless it’s family time. I realised that if I was spending time doing something and not getting paid for it, something must be very wrong somewhere. Therefore when I found I could do a lot less work for the same or usually even better profits with this method, it was a real awakening for me.
Less hours at the screen is never a bad thing as far as I am concerned. When you’re new to trading it all feels exciting and the hours fly by. But after a year or two things get more mundane and not so exciting, and this reduced level of emotion is one of the true secrets in my view, the reason why so many traders struggle when they are new to it and excited by it, only becoming profitable when they eventually calm down and treat it more like a job or a business. Mental control is everything in trading. Total emotional control is harder to achieve when you are excited.
Successful traders don’t blab about their trades in the pub on a Friday night, losing traders do! At least that’s my experience of many traders (and pubs) in my time! This is because by the very nature of being a successful trader, it’s not exciting any more, in fact talking about it in the pub would be a very boring prospect for any full time trader! The work has been done, it paid for that time in the pub to enjoy a chat with friends about anything other than their “day job”!
I spent many hours unpicking my own habits and thought processes in order to document every single click I make during my trading, right down to the very smallest detail which I hardly even noticed I was doing until I began writing it all down to put into this product.
I have lost count of how many people have asked me to write down my lay the draw approach, especially during the last few years. (One of them sent me a review of this eBook after he read it, his testimonial is shown below). I never really had the time, and to be totally honest, I was never sure I wanted to share this as it is the product of many years of adjustments, testing and fine-tuning in order to make it as reliable as possible for my own benefit, not for others! However, other people choosing the same trades won’t affect my trades or my profitability due to the large amounts of money in these football markets, so I have no real reservations about others trading the same games as me, which you will be able to after reading this eBook. As the summer football break made me even more bored than usual this year, I decided to use that time to put this product together and finally get it published once and for all.
This is not one of those 5 page toilet-paper deals. This is 56 pages of detailed, well-written and illustrated content. It was put together with the help of a total novice who barely even knew what Betfair was, so it was written from the ground up for people of all levels to be able to understand.
My aim was to make it possible for someone who has never placed a trade on Betfair in their life, to be able to start using my lay the draw approach immediately after reading this eBook, and start learning how to pick the right games, how to avoid the bad ones, and how to sidestep the many psychological traps which 99% of new traders fall into.
That’s a tall order as most novice traders should know already, mainly the psychological part which is the true challenge of any trading method (in any market arena). But going by the feedback I have received, I am pleased to say I think I have succeeded in doing so.
Here are just a few things you will learn in this extensive guide:
- How to make a shortlist of selections in a matter of minutes instead of hours
- Where to get the best stats
- How to interpret stats to avoid the wrong games and pick only the best opportunities each day
- Staking – how to approach this tricky subject with bank preservation in mind
- How I avoid many of the losing games other traders choose to trade
- How to capitalise on winning trades for maximum return and bank growth
- How to handle losing trades with minimal financial loss
- The mental stumbling blocks which cut most traders’ careers short
I am not going to do that cheesy (and always dishonest) stuff where I claim you will make a fortune, be driving a Ferrari next week, will never have to work again etcetera (yawn). Anyone who knows the first thing about trading knows it isn’t something which makes people rich overnight. It’s a long process of learning first about yourself, your emotional limits, your self-control (or lack of), then about the markets and many other extremely important but difficult lessons which every successful trader has learned before you.
Can good money be made from football trading? YES – it is not unheard of for pro traders to make £100k – £200k per year trading football just using this method. So it is possible, but it is highly unlikely that a beginner will be able to do that.
It is never the method that’s to blame for the long learning period which any trading system requires, it is the trader him/herself. Humans are not really built for trading, our emotions and instincts generally oppose everything which a trader must do in order to be successful. Not panicking, not chasing losses, not getting greedy and refusing a small profit in the hope of a bigger one, and so the list goes on. It takes a certain type of person, not a certain type of method, to make a truly great trader.
A trading strategy provides someone with an opportunity to profit, but the person behind the mouse is the one who seizes the opportunity effectively, or not. I have seen money lost on superb trades, and money won on rubbish trades. The difference is not the method, it is the person making the decisions.
This product aims to give you the skills required to become a successful trader
with a carefully explained method to bank profits with, if you become one! 🙂
Here is an honest real-world testimonial from Shane, one of my regular readers:
“I`ve been involved in betting now for only about 5 years, in that time i have been mainly a matched bettor, taking bonuses from bookies with the occasional trade on Betfair.
With bookies getting tougher on account holders who search for value i knew that i was going to have to have a longer term plan for regular profits. I also knew that my mini gun tactics were never going to be a reliable way of building up these long (and short term) profits on Betfair.
Just like anybody else who trades i had heard of laying the draw and i knew that it had been around since the start of betting exchanges. So just like most other traders i `had a go’ only to be blown out of the water in about three trades.
I thought then that this is probably why not everybody does this as it doesn`t work!
In the background i would get these emails now and again from a guy called Tim who would send his selection through with what seemed to be a great strike rate. I started to take more interest in his emails and actually started to congratulate him on his successes. After a time Tim mentioned that he was thinking about producing a PDF manual detailing how he starts out picking his selections through to staking plans and taking profits.
He asked me (probably because he saw how green i was and that i needed help) whether i would be interested in reading through the PDF when he`d completed it and giving my honest opinion, good or bad.
Once i had read it i realized where i was going wrong. NO PLAN!
This manual is years of knowledge rolled into one easy-to-read and straight-talking PDF.
Tim shows you where he finds his team selections and the strict criteria of choosing certain matches, not
just any old match like i used to do that looked good because it had low draw odds!
I`ve learned that to make money you have to use and stick to a proven system, will you lose sometimes,
of course you will but he shows you how to escape the trade with the smallest impact on your bank to
preserve long term profits.
Highly recommended by me and i thank Tim for giving me the opportunity to test this.
And another one from across the pond, and down a bit! ……
I read the LTD book, not twice but four times.
First i would like to thank you for giving me your years of knowledge.
Second i would like to let you know that your book is amazing not only for the LTD but
for game analysis in general.
You explained your method, which i believe came through a lot of hit and miss, in a very clear and simple way, which i strongly believe that if followed to the letter will be very profitable (human nature being controlled of course).
The book is very well written not as a novel but as a tool for traders and especially new ones like me. I felt i was taken by the hand and showed some state secret, it helped me already and i made a few bucks yesterday.
Again i would like to thank you for sharing your years of experience and knowledge.
PS: if you ever decide to give away any more experience i’ll be first in line.
Cheers and respect from Brazil,
I hope this eBook provides you with all the knowledge you need to succeed, as well as a simple but powerful method for finding profitable opportunities. BUT….. I can not and will not promise anything, and I make no guarantees about your future as a trader. If I did make promises about what the future holds for you, I would not be worth listening to anyway as nobody can tell you that without lying to you. What you do or don’t do as a result of studying this eBook is your own responsibility. But if you can follow some simple rules, keep a cool head at all times, and practice sensible money management, you have every chance of becoming one of the few people who manage to turn Betfair trading into a full time income and never have to wake up to an alarm clock on a wet winter Monday morning again! (Unless there is an early Japanese League game you like the look of!)
I wish you all the luck in the world, but as you will soon see, luck really has very little to do with it!
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